Weather - Based Mathematical Models for Estimating Development and Ripening of Crops

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Weather - Based Mathematical Models for Estimating Development and Ripening of Crops

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Page Foreword ................................................................ Summary (English, French, Russian, Spanish)

CHAPTER 1 - INTRODUCTION 1.1 1.2 1.3 1.3.1 1.3.2 1.3.3 1.3.4 1.4 1.5

. .. .. ... .. ... .... . .. .. .. ..... .. ...... ... . .. .....

Importance .................................................... Development versus growth ..................................... Development periods ........................................... Germination ................................................... Bud dormancy .................................................. Floral bud initiation ......................................... Other morphological and phenological changes .................. Development between stages .................................... References ....................................................

CHAPTER 2 - MODEL FORMULATION 2.1 2.2 2.3 2.4 2.5 2.6 2.7 2.8

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Constant rate of development model ............................ Temperature remainder index model (TRIM) ...................... Curvilinear temperature models ................................ The temperature-day-length model .............................. Threshold photoperiod in models ............................... Tri-quadratic model ........................................... Vernalization model ........................................... References ....................................................

CHAPTER 3 - OPERATIONAL MODELS 3.1 3.1.1 3.1.2 3.1.2.1 3.1.2.2 3.1.3 3.2 3.2.1 3.2.2 3.3 3.3.1 3.3.2 3.4 3.4.1 3.4.2

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Temperature remainder index model (TRIM) ...................... General ....................................................... Determining the threshold temperature for TRIM ................ The coefficient of variation method ........................... The regression method ......................................... The effective temperature sums for barley ..................... Curvilinear models ............................................ Corn heat units ............................................... Development of medics ......................................... Photothermal models ........................................... Simple models ................................................. Complex models ................................................ Miscellaneous models .......................................... Models involving duration of bright sunshine .................. Models involving global energy data ...........................

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32 32 32 37 37 38 40 40 40 41 42 43 45 47 47 49

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CHAPTER 3 (contd.) 3.4.3 3.4.4 3.5

Models involving heat balance calculations .................... Models involving rainfall or plant-water stress ............... References ....................................................

CHAPTER 4 - APPLICATIONS 4.1 4.2 4.3 4.4 4.5

Crop zonation ................................................. Operational planning and management ........................... Crop testing .................................................. Time scale for yield models ................................... References ....................................................

CHAPTER 5 - CONCLUSIONS 5.1 5.2 5.3

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Recapitulation ................................................ Research suggestions .......................................... References ....................................................

Bibliography

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Addresses of establishments

interested in crop development

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57 57 59 61 63 64

67 67 68 69

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