The Origins of Major War 9780801467059

Table of contents :
Contents
Acknowledgments
Abbreviations
Introduction
1. Rethinking Realist Theories of Major War
2. Foreign Policy Choices and the Probability of Major War
3. German Security and the Preparation for World War I
4. The July Crisis and the Outbreak of World War I
5. The Rise of Russia and the Outbreak of World War II
6. Bipolarity, Shifting Power, and the Origins of the Cold War, 1945-1950
7. The Berlin and Cuban Missile Crises
8. Major War from Pericles to Napoleon
9. The Implications of the Argument
Appendix
Notes
Index

Citation preview

The Origins of Major War

A volume in the series CORNELL STUDIES IN SECURITY AFFAIRS

edited by Robert J. Art, Robert Jervis, and Stephen M. Walt A list of titles in this series is available at www.comellpress.cornell.edu.

The Origins of Major War DALE

c.

COPELAND

Cornell University Press ITHACA AND LONDON

Copyright © 2000 by Cornell University All rights reserved . Except for brief quotations in a review, this book, or parts thereof, must not be reproduced in any form without permission in writing from the publisher. For information, address Cornell University Press, Sage House, 512 East State Street, Ithaca, New York 14850. First published 2000 by Cornell University Press First printing, Cornell Paperbacks, 2001 Printed in the United States of America

Library of Congress Cataloging-in-Publicntion Data Copeland, Dale C. The origins of major war / Dale C. Copeland. p. cm. - (Cornell studies in security affairs) Includes bibliographical references and index. ISBN 978-0-8014-3750-2 -74. See also cold war; NSC68; Stalin, Joseph; Uni ted States Continental System, 233, 309m 4° Cooper, Matthew, 137, 285nm23, 129 costly Signals, 46, 246. See also game theory Crimean War, 306n68 crises, 36--37, 42-46, 46--50, 176-79; dynamic differentials theory and, 176--77, 192, 199; origins of, 5--{), 8, 14, 31, 37, 237; pathways to major war and, 40, 41-42, 44-50, 237, 267n38; power oscillations and, 8, 47-48,237; security dilemmas and, 7, 36, 237; theorists of, 36, 42-46; unit-level explanations and, 42-44,176-77,181,185, 192,206. See also specific crises Cuban missile crisis: backchannel discussions and, 198, 202, 205; blockade option and, 189, 191-