Decision Analysis for Managers: A Guide for Making Better Personal and Business Decisiones [2 ed.] 9781631576041, 9781631576058

Abstract Everybody has to make decisions—they are unavoidable. Yet we receive little or no education or training on how

282 22 2MB

English Year 2017

Decision Analysis for Managers: A Guide for Making Better Personal and Business Decisiones [2 ed.]
9781631576041, 9781631576058

Author / Uploaded
David Charlesworth

Table of contents :
Preface
Acknowledgments
Chapter 1: What Is Decision Analysis?: And Why Should I Care?
Chapter 2: How to Start Framing a DA Problem: How Can We Work Together?
Chapter 3: The Objectives Hierarchy: What Do We Want?
Chapter 4: Decisions and Alternatives: What Can We Do?
Chapter 5: Influence Diagrams: What Do We Know?
Chapter 6: Uncertainty Assessment: The Boundary between Known and Unknown
Chapter 7: Building a Deterministic Model: Time to Run the Numbers
Chapter 8: Tornado Diagrams: Figuring Out What Is Important
Chapter 9: Cumulative Probability: Looking at the Range of Outcomes
Chapter 10: Value of Information: How Much Is It Worth to Know?
Chapter 11: Multiattribute Decision Analysis: There’s More to Life than Money
Chapter 12: Decision Quality: How Well Have We Done?
Chapter 13: Risk Analysis: I Want It Cheap and I Want It Now
Chapter 14: Other Topics: More Things to Think About
Notes
References
Index

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